UP experts predict 585K COVID-19 cases by end of 2020

    Seven months have passed after the Philippines reported its first confirmed case of COVID-19. Now, the total number of cases goes beyond 220,000 and this will continue to rise until the end of the year, the UP COVID-19 Pandemic Response Team predicted. Experts project the total number might reach 585,216.

    The projected active cases are at 68.856 (mean), while the projected number of deaths is 7.574 (mean) by the end of 2020. This information is available at endcov.ph.

    Projection of the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases in the Philippines.
WEBSITE/ENDCOV.PH
    Projection of the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases in the Philippines PHOTO BY WEBSITE/ENDCOV.PH
    Projection of the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases in the Philippines PHOTO BY WEBSITE/ENDCOV.PH
    Data shows the mean (or the average of a data set), plus or minus the standard deviation (amount of variation or dispersion of a set of values), and the upper and lower bounds. PHOTO BY WEBSITE/ENDCOV.PH

    Dr. Guido David of the UP OCTA Research Team explained that there is a high chance that the epidemic curve of COVID-19 may flatten by September. He explained that the COVID-19’s reproduction rate went down from 1.5 to 1.1. He, however, clarified that it may take one or two months before the number of cases reaches a “very manageable” level.

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